OPIS Seminar

Thursday, April 17 – Dubai

Seats are complimentary and limited

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Energy Crossroads: Embracing Fuels and Chemicals Amidst Energy Transition

 

Join us at our upcoming seminar where we will examine the dynamic interplay of the global economy, energy landscape and sustainable chemistry. From the foundations of steel and metal to the frontiers of hydrogen and carbon, our agenda delves into the entire energy and chemical value chain, identifying the critical touchpoints that shape each industry’s trajectory.

OPIS experts will examine supply costs, demand price discovery and outlooks for oil, gas, coal, steel, plastics, carbon, hydrogen, chemicals and more. We will provide a comprehensive analysis of the impact of sustainability measures across the energy and chemical markets and how you can maneuver your business through the crossroads.

Join us for a comprehensive analysis of the impact of sustainability measures across the energy and chemical markets and how you can maneuver your business safely through the crossroads.

Date and Venue

Grovesnor House, a Luxury Collection Hotel, Dubai

Thursday, 17 April 2025

9:00 AM to 5:00 PM
Lunch, coffee breaks and cocktail reception are included

View agenda

Expert Presenters

Veteran Industry Professionals from OPIS, Chemical Market Analytics and McCloskey

 

View the speaker line-up

Solutions

Price Assessments, Short- and Long-Term Outlooks, Analytics and Insights

Energy & Feedstock – Energy Macro Service, NGL & Naphtha Service (Outlooks, Insights, Price Assessments)

World Analysis – Methyl Methacrylate (MMA), Sodium Sulfate, Nitrile Latex (NBL), Pyrolysis Gasoline (PyGas), Polyacetal (POM Polymers)

Steel Raw Materials Markets & Research

Compliance and Voluntary Carbon Market Reports

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Session 1: Energy and Economy

9:00 am
Welcome Remarks:

Dewey Johnson, SVP & Global Lead, Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

The Geopolitical landscape of the Middle East under Trump 2.0

Speaker TBD


9:20 am
Global Energy & Chemicals Future: Emerging to a New World

Dewey Johnson, SVP & Global Lead, Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

With the chemical industry continuing to experience a historical over-supply with trough-like margins, the market conditions and competitive landscape in the horizon will be different from the past. Structural changes ranging from national ambitions and regulatory frameworks, international collaborations, new investment optimization rules, to sustainability prioritization affect future financial success.

Key forces affecting this industry structural redesign include:

9:40 am
Shifting Sands and Opportunities in the Middle East:

John Mathew, VP, Global Business Development

Growth and market opportunities unfolding in China, India, and the rest of Asia


10:00 am
Dynamics of NGL and Naphtha

Steve Lewandowski, VP, Global Olefins

The cracking economics of naphtha vs propane in Asia and their susceptibility to geopolitical events and economic concerns will be uncovered, and how the Russia-Ukraine war has reshaped naphtha flows into Asia and created tiered markets. Other regional views include how the US and Middle East propane continue to tussle for market share in Asia amid volatile freight rates, and how the Chinese demand will be key in absorbing LPG flows into Asia.


Energy and Feedstocks Trending in Different Directions

Steve Lewandowski, VP, Global Olefins

Energy transition means less oil and gas production, altering the traditional model where petrochemical feedstocks were byproducts. Despite increasing demand for petrochemicals, the shift imposes a cost burden on both the petrochemical industry and the end consumer. Balancing this dynamic becomes crucial in navigating the evolving energy landscape.


10:30 am
Networking & Coffee Break

 

Session 2: Energy, Commodities, and Chemicals

10:45 am
The Power Mix – Middle East

Dr. James Stevenson, Vice President, Coal, Metals and Mining at McCloskey by OPIS


11:05 am
The Changing Face of Methanol Demand: Supply Versus Demand Growth and Where Grey Meets Green

Mike Nash, Vice President, Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

Current methanol feedstocks are almost exclusively natural gas and Chinese coal. Methanol also plans an important role at energy transition and sustainability development. Demand growth in the last ten years has been largely driven by MTO, with strong fuels growth. But as growth into MTO declines, future demand will be driven more by traditional chemical derivatives, with methanol into marine fuel and vehicle fuel a constantly growing and topical upside. The industry is beginning its decarbonization journey, with new technologies and feedstocks and some consumers looking to purchase green, not grey methanol. We will discuss the anticipated evolution of the methanol industry over the next decade, the implications for pricing, supply-demand, trade, and the types of companies participating in the market.


11:25 am
Polyolefins

Kaushik Mitra, Executive Director, Polyolefins, EMEA, Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS

The global polyolefin market is defined by oversupply and regional production
cost disparity. The cost disparity amid oversupply amid demand slowdown is creating a unique market dynamic of low operating rate and compressed profitability. In this lower for longer scenario, Middle East is adding huge Polyolefin capacity. How these supplies will change the global supply demand equation, how the trade will evolve balancing China’s self-sufficiency, tariff protectionism and supply chain bottlenecks. How the players in the Middle East leverage their cost advantage and stay ahead of competition.


11:45 am
Spotlight: China’s Chemical’s Landscape

William Chen, Executive Director, Olefins, Asia

Will cover olefins and aromatics with a global landscape but focus on China China’s economy is shifting from a high-growth, industrial model to one focused on services, innovation, and sustainability. Despite challenges like global trade tensions and domestic debt, China remains a key global player. The energy sector is central to this transition, with growing investments in renewable energy, electric vehicles, and battery technology, pushing toward green energy. In the petrochemical sector, demand rises as China plays a critical role in global manufacturing, though it faces pressures from oversupply, shifting supply chains, and fluctuating oil prices.

The 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) focuses on technological self-sufficiency and sustainability. As it concludes in 2025, stimulus policies are expected to boost growth. The 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) will emphasize high-tech industries like AI and semiconductors, prioritizing resilience, global competitiveness, and deeper reforms for balanced growth.

The outlook for China’s economy, energy, and petrochemical sectors depends on managing these transitions, balancing growth with environmental goals, and adapting to global market changes.


12:05 pm
Lunch

Session 3: Energy Transition

1:05 pm
Opening Remarks

Speaker TBD


1:10 pm
Solar Market: Lessons Learned from China

Sakura Yamasaki, Founder and CEO at Singapore Solar Exchange

The global solar market is still largely defined by trends unfold in China and it’s shifting position in the market. China remains the dominant player across global solar installations across the top 5 markets – China, US, EU, India, and Brazil.
But the views inside China also tell another story including a 2024 installation slowdown. Why and What are the trends for solar installations inside China? The U.S. India and other regions are ramping up their industrial capacities. But as Chinese companies expand overseas supply chain capacities attempt to play a wac-a-mole game with the U.S. What insights can the Middle East gain from it’s own rapidly growing solar capacity. Supported by national targets, installations in the Middle East are growing faster than anywhere else. We will evaluate GW scale tenders in the region against a very price-sensitive market with deep forward curves. We’ll also dive into how the ME supply chain has grown exponentially in the past 2 years via partnerships with Chinese companies. Solar is a means to several ends in ME: technological leadership and energy transition. Is solar as a “hedge” against oil dependency, or a real path to global energy leadership?


1:30 pm
The Changing Dynamics of Steel Markets: Green Steel

Dr. James Stevenson, Head of Research in Coal, Metals and Mining at McCloskey by OPIS

The Middle East finds itself at the forefront of Green Steel development. Renewable generation – particularly solar – is growing rapidly in the region, and is a cornerstone of the expectation that the Middle East will become a green hydrogen production hub. With this resource, and access to either local or imported iron ore, the Middle East has the potential to grow to be a major player in the Green Steel supply chain – either as a producer of green DRI/HBI, or potentially taking the additional step of growing as a Green steel producer. Investments are coming rapidly – not only from local entities, but also from steelmakers around the world. But will global hydrogen and green steel markets take off to support such an industry? Or will the cost of green steel and logistical challenges around hydrogen slow the decarbonization of the steel sector?


1:50 pm
The Evolving Global Context for Hydrogen and Ammonia

Dominic Omusi, Principal Research Analyst – Hydrogen Markets, OPIS

Hydrogen and ammonia are becoming entrenched as global cornerstones of the energy transition, and the Middle East is emerging in prominence, as a region that can be a major supplier to global hydrogen markets – especially due its potential abundant supply of low-cost renewable energy (wind and solar). Deciphering the opportunity available to the region requires an understanding of the global hydrogen context: target prices for hydrogen as a commodity; production costs in competing jurisdictions; the role of incentive programs in North America, Europe and Asia; demand and offtake; trade and potential supply-demand balances. Ultimately, how does the Middle East fit within these factors shaping the global landscape?


2:15 pm
The State of the Carbon Markets and What’s Ahead

Lujia Wang,

Deep dive into the implications of CBAM on Middle Eastern imports to Europe. What are the CORISIA or other Article 6 agreements that the region may want to embrace?


2:35 pm
Networking & Coffee Break

2:55 pm
Closing Fireside chat: The Next Decade – Charting a Sustainable Course for the Middle Eastern Energy, Steel and Chemical Industries

John Howland, Dewey Johnson, James Stevenson


3:25 pm
Closing Remarks

3:30 pm
Cocktail Reception

 

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Meet Our Speakers

Presented by:

OPIS, A Dow Jones Company

 

Chemical Market Analytics by OPIS, A Dow Jones Company                        McCloskey by OPIS, A Dow Jones Compan